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Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Napoli logo

Roma
0 - 1
Napoli


Smalling (22'), Cristante (51'), Mourinho (58'), Ibanez (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osimhen (80')
Lozano (45+3'), Ndombele (47'), Spalletti (74'), Olivera (78'), Lobotka (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-1 Roma
Monday, October 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 3-2 Bologna
Sunday, October 16 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-2 Napoli

 The last two matches in this southern derby have finished level, and that streak would reach three for the first time in 27 years if two contrasting sides cannot be separated at the Olimpico. However, Napoli's slicker passing and more clinical touch in the box could prove the factors which tip the balance in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
RomaDrawNapoli
31.09% (0.188 0.19) 26.13% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 42.77% (-0.102 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.53% (0.341 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.21% (0.40300000000001 0.4)51.79% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.349 0.35)73.55% (-0.346 -0.35)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (0.33500000000001 0.34)30.85% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (0.39 0.39)67.13% (-0.38600000000001 -0.39)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.128 0.13)24.03% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.182 0.18)58.29% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Roma 31.09%
    Napoli 42.77%
    Draw 26.13%
RomaDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.31% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.13% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.09%
1-1 @ 12.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 10.57% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.86% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.54% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.21% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.58% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 42.77%

How you voted: Roma vs Napoli

Roma
17.6%
Draw
13.7%
Napoli
68.7%
278
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 6pm
Napoli
1-1
Roma
Insigne (11' pen.)
Koulibaly (37'), Zanoli (52'), Lozano (63'), Insigne (64')
El Shaarawy (90+1')
Cristante (17'), Zaniolo (71')
Fuzato (79')
Oct 24, 2021 5pm
Roma
0-0
Napoli

Mourinho (19'), Abraham (30'), Mourinho (82'), Karsdorp (90+4'), Veretout (90+4'), Mancini (90+5')

Mertens (90+5')
Spalletti (90+6')
Mar 21, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
0-2
Napoli

Ibanez (26'), Mancini (45+1'), Diawara (59'), El Shaarawy (64'), Villar (85')
Mertens (27', 34')
Zielinski (47'), Koulibaly (78'), Osimhen (90+1')
Nov 29, 2020 7.45pm
Napoli
4-0
Roma
Insigne (31'), Fabian (64'), Mertens (81'), Politano (86')
Di Lorenzo (32')

Ibanez (29'), Cristante (77')
Jul 5, 2020 8.45pm
Napoli
2-1
Roma
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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