Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 49.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 23.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.