Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 10
Oct 2, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Aberdeen2 - 1St Mirren
Reaction
Lewis Ferguson hails Aberdeen character in win over St Mirren
Lewis Ferguson snatched victory in stoppage-time.
4 years ago
St Mirren boss Jim Goodwin: 'My players gave everything against Aberdeen'
Lewis Ferguson grabbed a last-minute winner for Aberdeen after the Buddies had led 1-0.
4 years ago
The Match
Match Report
Lewis Ferguson scored the winner in stoppage time.
Team News
Buddies defender Richard Tait will sit out the trip through suspension.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 56.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
| 56.64% | 25.18% | 18.18% |
| Both teams to score 42.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.76% | 58.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.12% | 78.87% |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.41% | 20.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.88% | 53.12% |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.75% | 46.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.09% | 81.91% |
| Score Analysis |
Aberdeen 56.63%
St Mirren 18.18%
Draw 25.17%
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 15.04% 2-0 @ 11.89% 2-1 @ 9.17% 3-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 4.83% 4-0 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.63% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 9.52% 2-2 @ 3.54% Other @ 0.52% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.34% 1-2 @ 4.48% 0-2 @ 2.83% 1-3 @ 1.15% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.47% Total : 18.18% |
Head to Head
Feb 29, 2020 7.20pm
Quarter-Finals
St Mirren
0-2
Aberdeen
Jan 26, 2020 12.30pm
Aug 11, 2019 3pm
Feb 16, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 26
Aberdeen
2-2
St Mirren
Form Guide
