Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.