Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.