Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
