Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Wakrah win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Al Khor had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Wakrah win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest Al Khor win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Wakrah would win this match.