Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Moreirense would win this match.