Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford3 - 0Burnley
The Match
Match Report
Two stunning second-half goals from Bryan Mbeumo and Saman Ghoddos help Brentford to a routine win over Burnley in the Premier League.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Burnley |
31.55% ( -0.04) | 26.32% ( -0.03) | 42.13% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.59% ( 0.11) | 52.41% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.91% ( 0.1) | 74.09% ( -0.1) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( 0.04) | 30.85% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.87% ( 0.04) | 67.13% ( -0.04) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.37% ( 0.09) | 24.62% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.86% ( 0.12) | 59.13% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
Brentford 31.55%
Burnley 42.12%
Draw 26.32%
| Brentford | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.55% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.12% |
How you voted: Brentford vs Burnley
Brentford
72.8%Draw
13.6%Burnley
13.6%103
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Brentford
2-0
Burnley
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
Aug 22, 2015 3pm
Form Guide
