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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Burnley logo

Brentford
3 - 0
Burnley

Wissa (25'), Mbeumo (62'), Ghoddos (87')
Ajer (46'), Onyeka (53'), Frank (61'), Jensen (69'), Janelt (85'), Ghoddos (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Berge (32'), Roberts (42'), Cullen (45+2')
Roberts (78')

The Match

Match Report

Two stunning second-half goals from Bryan Mbeumo and Saman Ghoddos help Brentford to a routine win over Burnley in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawBurnley
31.55% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 26.32% (-0.029 -0.03) 42.13% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.12% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.59% (0.114 0.11)52.41% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.91% (0.098000000000003 0.1)74.09% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (0.035000000000011 0.04)30.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)67.13% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (0.085999999999999 0.09)24.62% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (0.119 0.12)59.13% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 31.55%
    Burnley 42.12%
    Draw 26.32%
BrentfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.55%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 10.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.12%

How you voted: Brentford vs Burnley

Brentford
Draw
Burnley
Brentford
72.8%
Draw
13.6%
Burnley
13.6%
103
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Brentford
2-0
Burnley
Toney (85', 90+4' pen.)
Toney (86')

Tarkowski (89')
Collins (90+2')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Burnley
3-1
Brentford
Wood (4'), Lowton (32'), Cornet (36')
McNeil (83')
Ghoddos (79')
Ghoddos (72')
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
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14Everton2971393236-434
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
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20Southampton2923242170-499


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