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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Burnley logo

Brentford
3 - 0
Burnley

Wissa (25'), Mbeumo (62'), Ghoddos (87')
Ajer (46'), Onyeka (53'), Frank (61'), Jensen (69'), Janelt (85'), Ghoddos (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Berge (32'), Roberts (42'), Cullen (45+2')
Roberts (78')

The Match

Match Report

Two stunning second-half goals from Bryan Mbeumo and Saman Ghoddos help Brentford to a routine win over Burnley in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 1-4 Chelsea
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawBurnley
31.55% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 26.32% (-0.029 -0.03) 42.13% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Both teams to score 52.12% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.59% (0.114 0.11)52.41% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.91% (0.098000000000003 0.1)74.09% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15% (0.035000000000011 0.04)30.85% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.87% (0.039999999999999 0.04)67.13% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.37% (0.085999999999999 0.09)24.62% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.86% (0.119 0.12)59.13% (-0.121 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 31.55%
    Burnley 42.12%
    Draw 26.32%
BrentfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 31.55%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 10.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.12%

How you voted: Brentford vs Burnley

Brentford
72.8%
Draw
13.6%
Burnley
13.6%
103
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Brentford
2-0
Burnley
Toney (85', 90+4' pen.)
Toney (86')

Tarkowski (89')
Collins (90+2')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Burnley
3-1
Brentford
Wood (4'), Lowton (32'), Cornet (36')
McNeil (83')
Ghoddos (79')
Ghoddos (72')
Jan 15, 2016 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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