Portuguese Super Cup | Final
Jul 31, 2021 at 8.45pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Aveiro
Sporting Lisbon2 - 1Braga
FT(HT: 2-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Braga |
| 30.04% | 28.5% | 41.45% |
| Both teams to score 45.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
