Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Legia3 - 1Widzew Lodz
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Widzew Lodz.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Legia 1-1 Midtjylland (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 31 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 0-2 Slask Wroclaw
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, August 25 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 65.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 15.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Widzew Lodz win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
65.1% ( 1.1) | 19.51% ( -0.4) | 15.39% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.06% ( 0.49) | 39.94% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.69% ( 0.51) | 62.3% ( -0.51) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.48% ( 0.45) | 11.52% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.58% ( 0.95) | 36.42% ( -0.95) |
| Widzew Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.21% ( -0.58) | 38.79% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.48% ( -0.55) | 75.52% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
Legia Warsaw 65.1%
Widzew Lodz 15.39%
Draw 19.51%
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
| 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.98% Total : 65.1% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.51% | 1-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 2% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.98% Total : 15.39% |
Form Guide
