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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 4
May 2, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
New York City

Philadelphia
0 - 2
NY City

FT(HT: 0-1)
Medina (5'), Castellanos (65')
Morales (18'), Ibeagha (25'), Moralez (45+2')

Preview: Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Philadelphia Union will look to record their first victory of the Major League Soccer campaign on Sunday, when they welcome New York City FC to Subaru Park.

Despite a slow start to the domestic season, the hosts come into this game on the back of a dominant 3-0 win over Atlanta United in the first leg of their CONCACAF Champions League quarter-final tie.


Match preview

Philadelphia Union head coach Jim Curtin pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Philadelphia Union will come into this game full of confidence following an impressive win in the CONCACAF Champions League quarter-final last time out.

The U travelled to take on Atlanta United in the first leg in Georgia, and despite long periods of dominance from the home side, Jim Curtin's side came away with a 3-0 lead going into the second leg thanks to a Kacper Przybylko brace and a late Anthony Fontana goal.

Their focus will now turn back to the MLS, as they look to put their first win on the board following a goalless draw and a defeat to start the campaign.

Curtin's men fell to a narrow defeat in their last league game against Inter Miami, as Jamiro Monteiro put them ahead early in the second half before late goals from Gonzalo Higuain and Federico Higuain saw the visitors snatch all three points.

They will aim to put themselves in the top seven on Sunday with their first win of the campaign, as they host New York City FC.

The visitors picked up an eye-catching victory last time out, as they defeated FC Cincinnati 5-0 at home.

A Jesus Medina brace alongside goals from Gudmundur Thorarinsson, Valentin Castellanos and a Nick Hagglund own goal saw the Boys in Blue secure their first league win of the season.

That was an impressive turnaround following their narrow opening defeat, as Castellanos's opening goal away at DC United was followed by goals from Brendan Hines-Ike and Russell Canouse for the hosts to take all three points.

Ronny Deila's men will now go in search of back-to-back victories to cement themselves at the top end of the Eastern Conference from the beginning of the MLS campaign.

Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • L

Philadelphia Union form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W

New York City FC Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • W



Team News

New York City head coach Ronny Deila reacts during the second half against the Chicago Fire at Red Bull Arena in August 2020© Reuters

Kacper Przybylko will lead the line for Philadelphia with confidence, having netted a brace in the cup win last time out.

He could again be joined by Cory Burke, with Jamiro Monteiro offering plenty of attacking threat from midfield.

At the other end of the pitch, Jack Elliott and Jakob Glesnes will partner up at the back, having kept two clean sheets in the last three games.

Ronny Deila could look to keep his side unchanged from the team that comfortably beat Cincinnati last time out, following a particularly impressive performance by the Pigeons.

Their line will be led by Valentin Castellanos, who has netted in each of their first two MLS games this campaign.

Jesus Medina will also offer plenty of threat from the wide areas, having netted a brace in the win over Cincinnati.

Philadelphia Union possible starting lineup:
Blake; Mbaizo, Glesnes, Blake, Wagner; Bedoya, Martinez, Flach; Monteiro; Przybylko, Burke

New York City FC possible starting lineup:
Jonson; Tinnerholm, Chanot, Callens, Thorarinsson; Sands, Parks; Medina, Moralez, Jasson; Castellanos


SM words green background

We say: Philadelphia Union 1-1 New York City FC

We see these sides coming into this game on a fairly level playing field, and both with plenty of confidence following big victories last time out.

On this occasion, we see them cancelling each other out and each side settling for a point in a cagey game at Subaru Park.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.


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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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