MX23RW : Monday, January 27 19:20:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
4 - 1
Carrick

Knowles (17' pen., 90+6'), Walsh (41'), Campbell (76')
Walsh (38'), Gallagher (87'), Gallagher (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Anderson (50')
Stewart (37'), Ervin (51'), Glendinning (53'), Kalla (71')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coleraine 2-0 Dungannon
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 3-1 Carrick
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCarrick Rangers
37.53% (-0.235 -0.23) 25.83% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 36.64% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 54.81% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)49.44% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)71.48% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.29% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)25.71% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.36% (-0.214 -0.21)60.64% (0.219 0.22)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78% (0.099000000000004 0.1)26.22% (-0.096 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68% (0.131 0.13)61.32% (-0.128 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 37.53%
    Carrick Rangers 36.64%
    Draw 25.83%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 9.16% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 37.53%
1-1 @ 12.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 9.03% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.21% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.04% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.9% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 36.64%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Carrick
3-0
Dungannon
Allen (24', 54'), Mitchell (77')

McGinty (34')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Carrick
1-0
Dungannon
Cushley (13')
McGuckin (45+5'), McMullan (74')

Devlin (58'), Shiels (89')
Dunne (79')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Dungannon
3-2
Carrick
Campbell (36', 71'), McBrien (82')
Breen (45+1'), McGee (62')
Cherry (38'), Gibson (76')
Carson (26'), Cherry (54'), Ervin (73')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Carrick
1-2
Dungannon
Cushley (85' pen.)
Cushley (9'), Anderson (19'), Surgenor (89'), Ervin (90')
McGinty (21'), McBrien (49')
Glynn (81'), Coyle (90')
Oct 22, 2021 7.45pm
Dungannon
2-0
Carrick
Mayse (14', 89')
(24'), McGinty (24'), Campbell (39')

Ervin (26'), Gawne (64'), Forsythe (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield25183448183057
2GlentoranGlentoran2412573021941
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon26124103731640
4PortadownPortadown25114103229337
5CrusadersCrusaders26114113337-437
6LarneLarne19105424141035
7CliftonvilleCliftonville24104103127434
8Ballymena UnitedBallymena24102122831-332
9ColeraineColeraine248793836231
10GlenavonGlenavon2587102633-731
11Carrick RangersCarrick2457122135-1422
12Loughgall2634192561-3613


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