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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 17
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
0 - 2
Ballymena


Ervin (71'), McGuckin (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wilson (73'), Graham (87')
Whiteside (40'), Wilson (69')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carrick 2-0 Portadown
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-2 Linfield
Friday, November 18 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 24.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 0-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawBallymena United
51.5% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 23.64% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.86%
Both teams to score 56.05% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (0.053999999999995 0.05)45.06% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (0.052000000000007 0.05)67.41% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48% (0.028000000000006 0.03)17.52% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.96% (0.045000000000002 0.05)48.04% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (0.027000000000001 0.03)32.04% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (0.030000000000001 0.03)68.51% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 51.5%
    Ballymena United 24.86%
    Draw 23.63%
Carrick RangersDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 9.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.52% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 51.5%
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.64% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 24.86%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
0-1
Carrick
Cushley (52')
Ervin (12')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Ballymena
3-0
Carrick
Parkhouse (6'), Surgenor (8' og.), Millar (25')
Strain (43')
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
3-0
Ballymena
Cushley (40', 65' pen.), Kelly (78')
Gawne (73')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Ballymena
0-1
Carrick

Redman (36'), (71'), (80')
Redman (62')
Gibson (70')
Gibson (83'), Gawne (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Carrick
2-1
Ballymena
Gawne (55'), Gibson (90+3')
Nixon (33')
Smith (32')
Loughran (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield25183448183057
2GlentoranGlentoran2412573021941
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon26124103731640
4PortadownPortadown25114103229337
5CrusadersCrusaders26114113337-437
6LarneLarne19105424141035
7CliftonvilleCliftonville24104103127434
8Ballymena UnitedBallymena24102122831-332
9ColeraineColeraine248793836231
10GlenavonGlenavon2587102633-731
11Carrick RangersCarrick2457122135-1422
12Loughgall2634192561-3613


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