MX23RW : Saturday, December 28 07:01:00| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
3 - 0
Dungannon

Allen (24', 54'), Mitchell (77')
Allen (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McGinty (34'), Mayse (44'), (86'), (86')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glentoran 5-0 Carrick
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 5-0 Dungannon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawDungannon Swifts
43.42% (-6.589 -6.59) 24.42% (0.608 0.61) 32.15% (5.979 5.98)
Both teams to score 58.71% (1.93 1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.04% (0.752 0.75)43.95% (-0.753 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.66% (0.729 0.73)66.34% (-0.73 -0.73)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.63% (-2.42 -2.42)20.37% (2.419 2.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.22% (-4 -4)52.78% (3.998 4)
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (4.526 4.53)26.27% (-4.528 -4.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (5.684 5.68)61.38% (-5.684 -5.68)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 43.42%
    Dungannon Swifts 32.15%
    Draw 24.42%
Carrick RangersDrawDungannon Swifts
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.549 -0.55)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.981 -0.98)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-1.381 -1.38)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.696 -0.7)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-1.076 -1.08)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.451 -0.45)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.575 -0.58)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 11.38% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.05% (0.396 0.4)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.16 0.16)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.42%
1-2 @ 7.61% (1.022 1.02)
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.642 0.64)
0-2 @ 4.78% (0.947 0.95)
1-3 @ 3.39% (0.804 0.8)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.477 0.48)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.626 0.63)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.372 0.37)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.247 0.25)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 32.15%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Carrick
1-0
Dungannon
Cushley (13')
McGuckin (45+5'), McMullan (74')

Devlin (58'), Shiels (89')
Dunne (79')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Dungannon
3-2
Carrick
Campbell (36', 71'), McBrien (82')
Breen (45+1'), McGee (62')
Cherry (38'), Gibson (76')
Carson (26'), Cherry (54'), Ervin (73')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Carrick
1-2
Dungannon
Cushley (85' pen.)
Cushley (9'), Anderson (19'), Surgenor (89'), Ervin (90')
McGinty (21'), McBrien (49')
Glynn (81'), Coyle (90')
Oct 22, 2021 7.45pm
Dungannon
2-0
Carrick
Mayse (14', 89')
(24'), McGinty (24'), Campbell (39')

Ervin (26'), Gawne (64'), Forsythe (90+3')
Apr 30, 2021 7.30pm
Dungannon
0-2
Carrick
Gawne (23'), Anderson (45')
D (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield22153440162448
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2311392926336
3GlentoranGlentoran2210572620635
4PortadownPortadown2110472821734
5CliftonvilleCliftonville219482823531
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena21101102727031
7CrusadersCrusaders219392627-130
8ColeraineColeraine217683432227
9LarneLarne167541712526
10GlenavonGlenavon2257101930-1122
11Carrick RangersCarrick2055102030-1020
12Loughgall2234152353-3013


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