MX23RW : Wednesday, November 6 01:45:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena
Larne

Carrick
0 - 1
Larne


Cherry (48'), Cushley (67'), McGuckin (70'), McKiernan (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gordon (79')
Randall (24')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Larne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Carrick
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 0-1 Larne
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 18.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.55%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Larne in this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
18.82% (-2.458 -2.46) 22.58% (-1.379 -1.38) 58.6% (3.846 3.85)
Both teams to score 51.08% (0.429 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.41% (2.515 2.52)47.6% (-2.507 -2.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (2.28 2.28)69.8% (-2.272 -2.27)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.75% (-1.159 -1.16)39.25% (1.167 1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.04% (-1.104 -1.1)75.96% (1.112 1.11)
Larne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (2.274 2.27)15.92% (-2.266 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.83% (4.016 4.02)45.17% (-4.009 -4.01)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 18.82%
    Larne 58.59%
    Draw 22.57%
Carrick RangersDrawLarne
1-0 @ 5.84% (-0.842 -0.84)
2-1 @ 5.02% (-0.479 -0.48)
2-0 @ 2.73% (-0.495 -0.5)
3-1 @ 1.57% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-2 @ 1.44% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 18.82%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.66 -0.66)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.678 -0.68)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.57%
0-1 @ 11.48% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 10.55% (0.49 0.49)
1-2 @ 9.87% (0.154 0.15)
0-3 @ 6.46% (0.746 0.75)
1-3 @ 6.04% (0.525 0.52)
0-4 @ 2.97% (0.533 0.53)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.162 0.16)
1-4 @ 2.78% (0.425 0.43)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.163 0.16)
0-5 @ 1.09% (0.26 0.26)
1-5 @ 1.02% (0.219 0.22)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 58.59%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 7.45pm
Carrick
1-1
Larne
Carson (14')
Cherry (39'), Ervin (84')
Lynch (38')
(33'), Hughes (62'), (84'), (88')
Bolger (9'), Scott (85')
Dec 27, 2021 3pm
Carrick
1-3
Larne
Cushley (32' pen.)
Ervin (50')
Cosgrove (38'), Hale (45+2'), McDaid (85')
(45'), (48'), (74')
Sep 25, 2021 5.30pm
Larne
0-0
Carrick

Oluwya (38'), Mitchell (65')

Surgenor (65')
Apr 3, 2021 3pm
Larne
3-0
Carrick
Lynch (14', 37'), Mitchell (35' pen.)
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Carrick
1-3
Larne
Loughran (18' pen.)
Loughran (50'), Chapman (65')
Mitchell (11' pen.), Herron (34'), McKendry (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield1492330141629
2CliftonvilleCliftonville147341814424
3Ballymena UnitedBallymena158072018224
4Dungannon SwiftsDungannon157262017323
5ColeraineColeraine156452320322
6PortadownPortadown146352016421
7GlentoranGlentoran156361514121
8CrusadersCrusaders136251513220
9LarneLarne11533139418
10GlenavonGlenavon153661119-815
11Carrick RangersCarrick143291427-1311
12Loughgall1532101735-1811


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!