MX23RW : Friday, December 27 15:20:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 5
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Seaview

Crusaders
2 - 1
Carrick

Larmour (64'), Offord (65')
Buchanan-Rolleston (26'), Glendinning (45+2'), Jewitt-White (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Allen (7')
Stewart (49'), Stewart (78'), Heatley (77'), Heatley (90+6')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Crusaders and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Cliftonville
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Carrick Rangers

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-3 Glentoran
Friday, August 23 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crusaders in this match.

Result
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
52.1% (0.492 0.49) 23.41% (0.105 0.11) 24.49% (-0.597 -0.6)
Both teams to score 56.4% (-1.005 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (-1.029 -1.03)44.41% (1.029 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.22% (-1.006 -1.01)66.78% (1.004 1)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)17.06% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (-0.354 -0.35)47.23% (0.352 0.35)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68% (-1.043 -1.04)32% (1.042 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.54% (-1.206 -1.21)68.46% (1.205 1.21)
Score Analysis
    Crusaders 52.1%
    Carrick Rangers 24.49%
    Draw 23.41%
CrusadersDrawCarrick Rangers
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.65% (0.362 0.36)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.266 0.27)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.124 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 52.1%
1-1 @ 11% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.144 -0.14)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.239 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 24.49%

Head to Head
May 1, 2024 7.45pm
Crusaders
3-1
Carrick
Lecky (7', 54'), Nixon (45+1')
Lecky (76')
Purkis (45+3')
Cushley (9'), Watson (56')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Crusaders
2-0
Carrick
Heatley (49'), Owens (65')
Clarke (45')

Forsythe (42'), Mitchell (62')
Forsythe (60')
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Carrick
0-1
Crusaders

McGuckin (76'), Macuilaitis (81'), Glendinning (89')
Lowry (45')
Robinson (58'), Heatley (87'), Joe Burns (89'), Larmour (90')
Aug 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Crusaders
9-0
Carrick
Heatley (11'), Kennedy (21', 25' pen., 28', 40'), Lowry (47'), Joe Burns (54'), Callacher (63'), Teelan (79')
Clarke (74')

Crowe (68'), Andrews (86')
Cherry (24')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 33
Crusaders
3-0
Carrick
Clarke (66'), Owens (80'), Caddell (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield22153440162448
2Dungannon SwiftsDungannon2311392926336
3GlentoranGlentoran2210572620635
4PortadownPortadown2110472821734
5CliftonvilleCliftonville219482823531
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena21101102727031
7CrusadersCrusaders219392627-130
8ColeraineColeraine217683432227
9LarneLarne167541712526
10GlenavonGlenavon2257101930-1122
11Carrick RangersCarrick2055102030-1020
12Loughgall2234152353-3013
> NIFL Premiership Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!