MX23RW : Monday, December 23 17:46:23| >> :600:960474:960474:
Netherlands national football team
Nations League | League A
Sep 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Italy national football team

Netherlands
0 - 1
Italy


Veltman (69'), Wijnaldum (84'), Depay (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barella (45+1')
D'Ambrosio (23'), Cristante (84'), Chiellini (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's UEFA Nations League clash between the Netherlands and Italy, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Netherlands had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.45%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Netherlands win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawItaly
36.81%24.16%39.03%
Both teams to score 60.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.31%41.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.91%64.09%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43%22.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84%56.16%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55%21.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.53%54.47%
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 36.81%
    Italy 39.03%
    Draw 24.16%
NetherlandsDrawItaly
2-1 @ 8.26%
1-0 @ 7.21%
2-0 @ 5.36%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 3.16%
3-0 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-2 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 11.09%
2-2 @ 6.36%
0-0 @ 4.84%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 8.54%
0-1 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 4.38%
2-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.94%
1-4 @ 1.69%
2-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 39.03%

Head to Head
Jun 4, 2018 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Italy
1-1
Netherlands
Zaza (67')
Chiesa (75'), Zaza (89')
Criscito (69')
Ake (88')
de Roon (28'), Vormer (43'), Janmaat (90')
Mar 28, 2017 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Netherlands
1-2
Italy
Romagnoli (10' og.)
Eder (11'), Bonucci (32')
Rugani (48')
Sep 4, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Italy
2-0
Netherlands
Immobile (3'), De Rossi (10' pen.)
Verratti (74')
Jun 15, 2013 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!