Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
56.46% ( -0) | 22.7% ( 0.01) | 20.84% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.98% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.64% ( -0.03) | 45.36% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.3% ( -0.03) | 67.69% ( 0.03) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.14% ( -0.01) | 15.86% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.93% ( -0.02) | 45.07% ( 0.02) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.16% ( -0.02) | 35.84% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.38% ( -0.02) | 72.62% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
1-0 @ 10.46% 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.91% 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.39% Total : 56.46% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.7% | 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.86% Total : 20.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 63 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 29 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 59 |
3 | York City | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 57 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 51 |
5 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 45 |
7 | Rochdale | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 42 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 39 |
13 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
20 | Fylde | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 28 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 30 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 21 | 67 | -46 | 12 |
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