National League | Gameweek 12
Sep 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Rochdale1 - 2Chesterfield
FT(HT: 1-2)
Coverage of the National League clash between Rochdale and Chesterfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dorking 1-2 Rochdale
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League
Goals
for
for
29
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Chesterfield |
31.44% ( 0.31) | 23.75% ( 0.07) | 44.8% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 60.76% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
