Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Aldershot Town | Draw | Southend United |
21.25% ( 0.12) | 22.92% ( -0.05) | 55.82% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.87% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.19% ( 0.38) | 45.81% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.88% ( 0.36) | 68.12% ( -0.36) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.31% ( 0.33) | 35.69% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.54% ( 0.34) | 72.46% ( -0.34) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.76% ( 0.11) | 16.24% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.24% ( 0.2) | 45.76% ( -0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Aldershot Town | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.89% Total : 21.25% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.92% | 0-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.8% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.64% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 55.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 57 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 56 |
3 | York City | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 52 | 25 | 27 | 54 |
4 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 45 |
6 | Rochdale | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 42 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 41 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
15 | Tamworth | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 25 |
22 | Fylde | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 21 | 65 | -44 | 12 |
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