Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.