National League South | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm
Oxford City3 - 1Chelmsford City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Oxford City
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-2 Farnborough Town
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
58
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
43.85% ( 0.02) | 23.93% ( -0.02) | 32.23% |
| Both teams to score 60.52% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
