Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 45.8%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 27.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.