We said: Orlando City 2-1 Dallas
The two teams' equally positive starts to the campaign makes this an intriguing counter that could go either way, but we see the visitors' recent struggles tipping the balance in favour of Orlando.
Dallas should certainly cause their opponents problems, but, with home advantage, Pareja's men have the quality to take all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Dallas win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.