Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.