Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 49.92%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 22.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
