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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
CNG Stadium
Rochdale

Harrogate
1 - 1
Rochdale

Sims (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Keohane (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mansfield 1-2 Harrogate
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 4-1 Sutton
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-2 Rochdale

There is no real pressure on either side heading into this match, which could create an entertaining contest. Rochdale were excellent against Sutton last time out and certainly have enough quality to secure a share of the spoils on Monday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 19.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawRochdale
57.26% (0.112 0.11) 23.07% (-0.035 -0.04) 19.67% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Both teams to score 50.96% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.53% (0.041000000000004 0.04)48.47% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.4% (0.038 0.04)70.6% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.32% (0.054000000000002 0.05)16.68% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.44% (0.097999999999999 0.1)46.56% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.16% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)38.84% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.43% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)75.57% (0.055000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 57.25%
    Rochdale 19.67%
    Draw 23.07%
Harrogate TownDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-0 @ 10.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.87% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.63% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 57.25%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.48% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 6.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 19.67%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Rochdale

Harrogate Town
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rochdale
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Rochdale
1-4
Harrogate
Ball (7')
Brierley (37')
Thomson (14'), Armstrong (53', 58'), Folarin (70')
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
gameweek 32
Rochdale
3-3
Harrogate
Clark (18'), Odoh (61'), Campbell (88')
O'Connell (48'), Ball (76')
Pattison (3', 24'), Diamond (47')
Legge (66')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
gameweek 1
Harrogate
3-2
Rochdale
Armstrong (5'), Pattison (10'), Burrell (90+1')
Pattison (59')
Newby (15'), Grant (49')
Beesley (43'), Odoh (60')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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