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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 57.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Rochdale |
57.26% ( 0.11) | 23.07% ( -0.04) | 19.67% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.96% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.53% ( 0.04) | 48.47% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.4% ( 0.04) | 70.6% ( -0.04) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.32% ( 0.05) | 16.68% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.44% ( 0.1) | 46.56% ( -0.1) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.16% ( -0.06) | 38.84% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.43% ( -0.06) | 75.57% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 11.6% 2-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 57.25% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.07% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.44% Total : 19.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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