Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.69%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (11.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.