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League One
Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Portsmouth

Carlisle
0 - 1
Portsmouth


Vela (29')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lane (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-2 Carlisle
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-1 Northampton
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 1-3 Portsmouth

 Despite having to contend with a number of injury issues, Portsmouth will carry significant momentum into Saturday's contest, and we think that the leaders will sweep past a struggling Carlisle side to continue their promotion push. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 18.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawPortsmouth
18.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 22.9% (0.0030000000000001 0) 58.41% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)49.1% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)71.17% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.72% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)40.28% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09% (-0.032 -0.03)76.91% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)16.51% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.76% (-0.012 -0.01)46.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 18.69%
    Portsmouth 58.4%
    Draw 22.9%
Carlisle UnitedDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 6.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 18.69%
1-1 @ 10.89%
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 22.9%
0-1 @ 11.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 10.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.81% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
0-5 @ 1.05%
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 58.4%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Portsmouth

Carlisle United
20.0%
Draw
5.0%
Portsmouth
75.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Portsmouth
1-0
Carlisle
Shaughnessy (90+3')
Rafferty (78')

McCalmont (48'), Guy (70'), Garner (73')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Carlisle
0-3
Portsmouth

O'Sullivan (40'), Miller (61')
Roberts (73'), Linganzi (86'), Whatmough (92')
Aug 6, 2016 3pm
Portsmouth
1-1
Carlisle
Baker (42')
Lambe (14')
Devitt (19'), Gillespie (73')
Devitt (28')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Portsmouth
1-0
Carlisle
Smith (57')
Stevens (44')

Raynes (73')
Nov 21, 2015 3pm
Carlisle
2-2
Portsmouth
Grainger (44' pen., 95')
Dicker (85')
Lavery (66'), McNulty (68')
Lavery (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020
> League One Full Table


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