Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 20.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
