MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 16:49:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Shelbourne
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 7
Mar 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
Derry City

Shelbourne
0 - 1
Derry


Barrett (45+2'), Molloy (75'), Smith (90+1')
Barrett (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Graydon (11')
Coll (40'), Diallo (76'), Boyce (90+1')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions
Last Game: Cork City 0-2 Shelbourne
Friday, March 17 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 1-1 Sligo
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 45.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 1-0 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.

Result
ShelbourneDrawDerry City
25.28% (0.111 0.11) 28.75% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 45.97% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 41.83% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.24% (0.010999999999996 0.01)63.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.99% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)83.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58% (0.108 0.11)42% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.56% (0.091999999999999 0.09)78.44% (-0.089999999999989 -0.09)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.12% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)27.88% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.51% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)63.49% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 25.27%
    Derry City 45.96%
    Draw 28.74%
ShelbourneDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 10.15% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.63% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.63% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.27% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 25.27%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 28.74%
0-1 @ 14.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 45.96%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2022 7.45pm
Derry
1-1
Shelbourne
Thomson (83')
Moylan (69')
Ross Wilson (77')
Aug 29, 2022 7.45pm
Shelbourne
0-1
Derry

McManus (52'), Boyd (90+4'), Kane (90+5')
Boyd (90+6')
Graydon (90+1')
Diallo (35'), Dummigan (53')
Apr 15, 2022 7.45pm
Derry
1-2
Shelbourne
Akintunde (30')
Dummigan (47')
Farrell (68'), McManus (75')
Thomas (16'), O'Driscoll (21'), Byrne (40'), Carr (76'), Dervin (78'), Boyd (90+2')
Dervin (90+1')
Mar 4, 2022 7.45pm
Shelbourne
0-1
Derry

Boyd (35')
McEleney (73')
(87')
Oct 23, 2020 7.45pm
Derry
2-0
Shelbourne
Thomson (19'), Figueira (62')
Cherrie (72'), Clifford (90')

(78')
rhs 2.0
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