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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 13
May 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Eamonn Deacy Park
Derry City

Galway United
0 - 0
Derry

FT
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Galway United and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shamrock 1-1 Galway United
Friday, April 26 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 0-2 Derry
Friday, April 26 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Galway United had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Galway United win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Galway UnitedDrawDerry City
32.29% (-0.496 -0.5) 27.75% (-0.15 -0.15) 39.96% (0.65 0.65)
Both teams to score 48.05% (0.319 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.3% (0.458 0.46)57.7% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.55% (0.363 0.36)78.46% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Galway United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96% (-0.107 -0.11)33.05% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36% (-0.119 -0.12)69.64% (0.124 0.12)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (0.593 0.59)28.23% (-0.591 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (0.742 0.74)63.94% (-0.739 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Galway United 32.29%
    Derry City 39.96%
    Draw 27.74%
Galway UnitedDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 7.23% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.72% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.67% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.69% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.29%
1-1 @ 13.06% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.163 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 11.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.26% (0.103 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.46% (0.115 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.15% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.049 0.05)
0-4 @ 1% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.96%

How you voted: Galway United vs Derry

Galway United
42.9%
Draw
21.4%
Derry City
35.7%
14
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Derry
0-1
Galway United

McMullan (43'), Connolly (78'), Maher (81')
Walsh (85')
McCormack (42')
rhs 2.0
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