MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 16:47:49| >> :300:86500:86500:
Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 24
Apr 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
St Patrick's Athletic

Derry
3 - 1
St Patrick's

Mullen (16', 56'), Hoban (51')
Hoban (13'), McJannett (20'), O'Reilly (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Keeley (54')
Lennon (38'), McLaughlin (74'), Keeley (82')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 1-3 Shamrock
Friday, April 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 1-1 Waterford
Friday, April 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
52.46% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 24.76% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 22.79% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 50.19% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.31% (0.17599999999999 0.18)51.69% (-0.175 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.53% (0.154 0.15)73.47% (-0.151 -0.15)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (0.037999999999997 0.04)19.68% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.33% (0.060000000000002 0.06)51.67% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.49% (0.194 0.19)37.51% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.71% (0.191 0.19)74.29% (-0.188 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 52.46%
    St Patrick's Athletic 22.79%
    Draw 24.75%
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 12% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.75% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 52.46%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.38% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.69% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 22.79%

How you voted: Derry vs St Patrick's

Derry City
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
St Patrick's Athletic
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Derry
2-1
St Patrick's
Hoban (65'), Mullen (90+2')
Hoban (31')
Keating (47')
Breslin (66'), Pitaluga (80'), Kavanagh (85')
Nov 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Derry
3-0
St Patrick's
Kavanagh (11'), Patching (26'), McEneff (86')
Connolly (30'), Dummigan (73')

McGrath (85')
Jun 5, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 19
St Patrick's
4-1
Derry
McGrath (36'), Doyle (62'), Forrester (67'), Doyle (79')
Murphy (61')
Kavanagh (65')
McEleney (41'), Graydon (83')
> Preview
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Derry
2-0
St Patrick's
Doherty (71' pen.), Whelan (79')
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
St Patrick's
1-1
Derry
Redmond (89')
McEneff (32')
rhs 2.0
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