MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 16:27:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 3
Mar 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
St Patrick's Athletic

Derry
2 - 1
St Patrick's

Hoban (65'), Mullen (90+2')
Hoban (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Keating (47')
Breslin (66'), Pitaluga (80'), Kavanagh (85')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Sligo 0-0 Derry
Saturday, February 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-1 Bohemians
Friday, February 23 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 17.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
59.12% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 23.03% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 17.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.97% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.15% (0.055 0.05)50.84% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.27% (0.050000000000001 0.05)72.73% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.030999999999992 0.03)16.87% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.1% (0.055999999999997 0.06)46.9% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.71% (0.017000000000003 0.02)42.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.31% (0.013999999999999 0.01)78.69% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 59.11%
    St Patrick's Athletic 17.85%
    Draw 23.02%
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 12.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 11.29%
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 59.11%
1-1 @ 10.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 23.02%
0-1 @ 6.14% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.7% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 17.85%

Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Derry
3-0
St Patrick's
Kavanagh (11'), Patching (26'), McEneff (86')
Connolly (30'), Dummigan (73')

McGrath (85')
Jun 5, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 19
St Patrick's
4-1
Derry
McGrath (36'), Doyle (62'), Forrester (67'), Doyle (79')
Murphy (61')
Kavanagh (65')
McEleney (41'), Graydon (83')
> Preview
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Derry
2-0
St Patrick's
Doherty (71' pen.), Whelan (79')
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
St Patrick's
1-1
Derry
Redmond (89')
McEneff (32')
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
St Patrick's
0-1
Derry
Kavanagh (70')
rhs 2.0
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