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Dundalk
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 2
Feb 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park

Dundalk
0 - 2
Galway United

FT(HT: 0-2)
McCarthy (10'), Dervin (30')
Slevin (44'), Brouder (69')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Galway United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Shamrock 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, February 16 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Galway United

All competitions
Last Game: Galway United 0-1 St Patrick's
Friday, February 16 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galway United would win this match.

Result
DundalkDrawGalway United
31.69% (0.012 0.01) 24.74%43.57% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 57.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.45%45.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.12%67.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)27.34% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (0.011000000000003 0.01)62.79% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Galway United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)20.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.27% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)53.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 31.69%
    Galway United 43.57%
    Draw 24.73%
DundalkDrawGalway United
2-1 @ 7.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 31.69%
1-1 @ 11.61%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.73%
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.06%
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 43.57%

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