Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
Result | ||
Leganes | Draw | Celta Vigo |
41.74% ( 0.51) | 27.9% ( 0.17) | 30.36% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 46.96% ( -0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.24% ( -0.81) | 58.76% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.71% ( -0.63) | 79.28% ( 0.63) |
Leganes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% ( -0.1) | 27.75% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.68% ( -0.13) | 63.32% ( 0.13) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65% ( -0.93) | 35% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.26% ( -0.99) | 71.74% ( 0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Leganes | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.82% Total : 41.73% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.9% | 0-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.14% Total : 30.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |