Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
