MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 12:24:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
3 - 1
Reysol

Dawhan (10'), Meshino (46'), Alano (67' pen.)
Yamamoto (14'), Kurokawa (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hosoya (21')
Takamine (90+9')
Shiihashi (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Kashiwa Reysol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol

Gamba have distanced themselves from any immediate fears of a relegation battle with a good run of form recently, and the hosts will be confident of extending their unbeaten streak on Sunday. Kashiwa have struggled enormously in the J League for over two months, and this weekend could finally be the time that they drop into the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawKashiwa Reysol
52.48% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06) 26.12% (0.020999999999997 0.02) 21.4% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)58.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)78.71% (0.023999999999987 0.02)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)22.23% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)55.65% (0.061 0.06)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.5% (0.028999999999996 0.03)42.49% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.14% (0.027000000000001 0.03)78.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 52.47%
    Kashiwa Reysol 21.4%
    Draw 26.11%
Gamba OsakaDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 14.2%
2-0 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 52.47%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 21.4%

How you voted: Gamba Osaka vs Reysol

Gamba Osaka
100%
Draw
0.0%
Kashiwa Reysol
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 6am
Gameweek 1
Reysol
2-2
Gamba Osaka
Katayama (42')
Usami (49'), Dawhan (54')
Oct 1, 2022 8am
May 14, 2022 11am
Gameweek 13
Reysol
0-1
Gamba Osaka
Dawhan (71')
Nakamura (51')
Sep 26, 2021 11am
Gameweek 30
Gamba Osaka
2-1
Reysol
Usami (3'), Suganuma (26')
Kamiya (86')
Apr 11, 2021 9am
Gameweek 9
Reysol
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Otani (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe35207856342267
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima351811666363065
3Machida Zelvia35179949311860
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers34169955401557
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka351512841311057
6Tokyo Verdy35141294645154
7FC Tokyo35149124946351
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo351213104243-149
9Avispa Fukuoka351114103134-347
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus35144174244-246
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki341111125650644
12Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare35128155051-144
13Kyoto Sanga34128144253-1144
14Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa341110134543243
15Yokohama F MarinosYokohama34127155254-243
16Albirex Niigata351010154357-1440
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol35912143748-1139
18Jubilo Iwata3498173956-1735
19Consadole SapporoConsadole3589184060-2033
20Sagan Tosu3585224166-2529


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