MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 14:01:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
3 - 1
Reysol

Dawhan (10'), Meshino (46'), Alano (67' pen.)
Yamamoto (14'), Kurokawa (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hosoya (21')
Takamine (90+9')
Shiihashi (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Kashiwa Reysol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League

Kashiwa Reysol

All competitions
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol

 Gamba have distanced themselves from any immediate fears of a relegation battle with a good run of form recently, and the hosts will be confident of extending their unbeaten streak on Sunday. Kashiwa have struggled enormously in the J League for over two months, and this weekend could finally be the time that they drop into the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawKashiwa Reysol
52.48% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06) 26.12% (0.020999999999997 0.02) 21.4% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)58.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)78.71% (0.023999999999987 0.02)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)22.23% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)55.65% (0.061 0.06)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.5% (0.028999999999996 0.03)42.49% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.14% (0.027000000000001 0.03)78.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 52.47%
    Kashiwa Reysol 21.4%
    Draw 26.11%
Gamba OsakaDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 14.2%
2-0 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 52.47%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 21.4%

How you voted: Gamba Osaka vs Reysol

Gamba Osaka
100%
Draw
0.0%
Kashiwa Reysol
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 6am
Gameweek 1
Reysol
2-2
Gamba Osaka
Katayama (42')
Usami (49'), Dawhan (54')
Oct 1, 2022 8am
Gameweek 31
Gamba Osaka
0-0
Reysol
May 14, 2022 11am
Gameweek 13
Reysol
0-1
Gamba Osaka
Dawhan (71')
Nakamura (51')
Sep 26, 2021 11am
Gameweek 30
Gamba Osaka
2-1
Reysol
Usami (3'), Suganuma (26')
Kamiya (86')
Apr 11, 2021 9am
Gameweek 9
Reysol
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Otani (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035
> J1 League Full Table


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