Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 32.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.