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J1 League | Gameweek 18
Jun 24, 2023 at 6am UK
Sapporo Dome

Consadole
1 - 4
Cerezo

Arano (45')
Asano (73')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Ceara (2'), Kato (17'), Kida (38'), Kagawa (76')
Funaki (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Consadole Sapporo and Cerezo Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-1 Consadole
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 2-1 Vissel Kobe
Saturday, June 10 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Consadole Sapporo 2-1 Cerezo Osaka

Consadole Sapporo have won three of their last four meetings with Cerezo Osaka, and with home advantage in their favour, we think that the hosts will claim another victory in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Consadole Sapporo win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Consadole SapporoDrawCerezo Osaka
45.21% (0.271 0.27) 25.09% (0.192 0.19) 29.7% (-0.459 -0.46)
Both teams to score 55.19% (-0.896 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.99% (-1.051 -1.05)48.01% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.82% (-0.972 -0.97)70.18% (0.977 0.98)
Consadole Sapporo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)21.26% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.82% (-0.49 -0.49)54.18% (0.494 0.49)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.851 -0.85)29.9% (0.856 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-1.041 -1.04)66% (1.044 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Consadole Sapporo 45.21%
    Cerezo Osaka 29.7%
    Draw 25.09%
Consadole SapporoDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.84% (0.332 0.33)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.93% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 45.21%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.36% (0.274 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.154 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 29.7%

How you voted: Consadole vs Cerezo

Consadole Sapporo
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Cerezo Osaka
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 6am
Gameweek 7
Cerezo
2-3
Consadole
Ceara (14' pen., 61')
Kaneko (6', 15'), Tanaka (64')
Sep 2, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 28
Consadole
2-1
Cerezo
Gun-hee (86'), Aoki (90+4')
Nakahara (78')
Mar 19, 2022 7am
Gameweek 5
Cerezo
2-2
Consadole
Yamada (25'), Mendes (62')
Okamura (30'), Kaneko (76')
Sep 11, 2021 10am
Gameweek 28
Cerezo
0-2
Consadole

Inui (41')
Douglas (73'), Aoki (75')
Suga (56'), Fernandes (82')
Sep 8, 2021 11am
Gameweek 19
Consadole
0-3
Cerezo
Fujita (45+1'), Matsuda (51'), Okubo (88')
Tiago (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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