MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 13:52:29| >> :120:3942:3942:
Wales national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Gibraltar national football team

Wales
4 - 0
Gibraltar

Davies (22'), Moore (26', 45'), Broadhead (35')
Poole (41')
FT(HT: 4-0)

De Barr (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Wales and Gibraltar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Latvia 0-2 Wales
Monday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Croatia4810
2Turkey5210
3Armenia517
4Wales5-17
5Latvia5-100
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Greece 5-0 Gibraltar
Sunday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Wales 2-0 Gibraltar

With Page looking to find a balance with the players that he uses on Wednesday night, this game could be closer than many are anticipating. Nevertheless, we still expect Wales to post a much-needed win ahead of their showdown with Croatia. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 93.32%. A draw had a probability of 5.7% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 0.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 3-0 with a probability of 18.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.92%) and 4-0 (14.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (3.25%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (0.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.

Result
WalesDrawGibraltar
93.32% (-1.085 -1.09) 5.71% (0.968 0.97) 0.97% (0.118 0.12)
Both teams to score 17.39% (-1.515 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.51% (-4.86 -4.86)33.49% (4.861 4.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.72% (-5.763 -5.76)55.28% (5.764 5.76)
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.03% (-0.886 -0.89)3.97% (0.887 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
83.21% (-2.965 -2.97)16.79% (2.966 2.97)
Gibraltar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
18.1% (-1.398 -1.4)81.89% (1.397 1.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
1.75% (-0.29 -0.29)98.25% (0.29000000000001 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Wales 93.3%
    Gibraltar 0.97%
    Draw 5.71%
WalesDrawGibraltar
3-0 @ 18.2% (0.78 0.78)
2-0 @ 16.92% (1.9 1.9)
4-0 @ 14.67% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-0 @ 10.49% (1.849 1.85)
5-0 @ 9.47% (-1.062 -1.06)
6-0 @ 5.09% (-1.019 -1.02)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-1 @ 3.38% (0.12 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.93% (-0.355 -0.36)
7-0 @ 2.35% (-0.69 -0.69)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.396 -0.4)
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.308 -0.31)
8-0 @ 0.95% (-0.374 -0.37)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 93.3%
0-0 @ 3.25% (0.769 0.77)
1-1 @ 2.1% (0.221 0.22)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 5.71%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 0.97%

How you voted: Wales vs Gibraltar

Wales
88.4%
Draw
11.6%
Gibraltar
0.0%
43
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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