Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 65.32%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 14.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malta would win this match.
