Friendlies 1
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Malawi0 - 4Kenya
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Malawi and Kenya.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malawi 0-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Tuesday, November 21 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 2 | Guinea | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Malawi | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kenya win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kenya win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kenya would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Malawi | Draw | Kenya |
29.87% ( -0.01) | 26.26% ( -0.04) | 43.87% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
