MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 18:32:53| >> :60:649:649:
Ecuador national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Red Bull Arena, Harrison
Bolivia national football team

Ecuador
1 - 0
Bolivia

Valencia (69')
Estupinan (13'), Pacho (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Roca (41'), Terceros (53'), Arrascaita (73'), Ursino (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Ecuador and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ecuador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Australia 1-2 Ecuador
Tuesday, March 28 at 9.30am in International Friendlies

Bolivia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Bolivia
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in International Friendlies

We said: Ecuador 3-0 Bolivia

 It is difficult to see anything other than a convincing Ecuador victory here, especially since La Tri are seeking their fifth consecutive triumph against Bolivia. La Verde, despite their win against Saudi Arabia, have struggled to get results in recent times, so we are predicting that Ecuador will secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 9.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.11%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.

Result
EcuadorDrawBolivia
72.87% (0.31 0.31) 18.03% (-0.34 -0.34) 9.1% (0.030100000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 39.29% (1.083 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (1.448 1.45)49.18% (-1.448 -1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (1.291 1.29)71.24% (-1.291 -1.29)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.94% (0.506 0.51)12.06% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.44% (1.064 1.06)37.56% (-1.063 -1.06)
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.68% (0.98099999999999 0.98)55.32% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.93% (0.573 0.57)88.07% (-0.57299999999999 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 72.86%
    Bolivia 9.1%
    Draw 18.03%
EcuadorDrawBolivia
2-0 @ 14.92% (-0.29 -0.29)
1-0 @ 14.11% (-0.56 -0.56)
3-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.186 0.19)
4-0 @ 5.57% (0.11 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.161 0.16)
5-0 @ 2.36% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.108 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.39% (0.093 0.09)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 72.86%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.404 -0.4)
2-2 @ 2.62% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 18.03%
0-1 @ 3.95% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-2 @ 2.47% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.17% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 9.1%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Bolivia

Ecuador
82.6%
Draw
13.0%
Bolivia
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Ecuador
3-0
Bolivia
> Preview
Mar 29, 2021 9.30pm
Friendlies 1
Ecuador
2-1
Bolivia
Martinez (37'), Estrada (59')
Arroyo (55')
Ramallo (90+4')
Montero (12')
Nov 12, 2020 8pm
Group Stage
Bolivia
2-3
Ecuador
Carlos Arce (37'), Moreno (60')
Jusino (18'), Montero (78')
Caicedo (46'), Mena (55'), Gruezo (88' pen.)
Caicedo (45'), Gruezo (45+2')
> Preview
Sep 11, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
3-0
Bolivia
Estrada (49'), Sornoza (72' pen.), Plata (86')
Torres (40'), Mendez (62')

Chumacero (18'), Campos (53')
Jun 15, 2015 10pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
2-3
Bolivia
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