MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 09:29:04| >> :120:4301:4301:
Australia national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 28, 2023 at 9.30am UK
Marvel Stadium
Ecuador national football team

Australia
1 - 2
Ecuador

Borrello (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Estupinan (51' pen.), Pacho (64')
Estupinan (85'), Arreaga (86'), Caicedo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Australia and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Australia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Australia 3-1 Ecuador
Friday, March 24 at 9am in International Friendlies

Ecuador

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Australia 3-1 Ecuador
Friday, March 24 at 9am in International Friendlies

We said: Australia 1-2 Ecuador

 Ecuador are likely to be the more motivated team after losing the first match on Friday, and we can envisage them bouncing back with a victory as a result. Australia rode their luck at times during the initial encounter, with Sanchez hoping to turn his team's dominant possession into a higher amount of clear cut chances. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 43.8%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ecuador in this match.

Result
AustraliaDrawEcuador
43.8% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 29.1%27.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 42.18% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.95% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.85% (0.0019999999999989 0)83.15% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)29.13% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)65.06% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.51% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)40.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.9% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.1% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Australia 43.79%
    Ecuador 27.1%
    Draw 29.09%
AustraliaDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 14.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.97% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.11%
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 3.34%
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.14%
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 43.79%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 11.79%
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.09%
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 27.1%

How you voted: Australia vs Ecuador

Australia
52.6%
Draw
24.6%
Ecuador
22.8%
57
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 9am
Friendlies 1
Australia
3-1
Ecuador
Irvine (12'), Mabil (32'), Kuol (84')
Behich (22')
Torres (23')
rhs 2.0
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