Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Kecskemeti TE had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Kecskemeti TE win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MTK in this match.