Hungarian NB I | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Nagyerdei Stadion
Debrecen1 - 3MTK
Coverage of the Hungarian NB I clash between Debrecen and MTK.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Debrecen 4-1 Varda SE
Monday, August 21 at 7.15pm in Hungarian NB I
Monday, August 21 at 7.15pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: MTK 1-0 Kecskemeti TE
Saturday, August 19 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Saturday, August 19 at 4.45pm in Hungarian NB I
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MTK win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Debrecen had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MTK win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Debrecen win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MTK would win this match.
Result | ||
Debrecen | Draw | MTK |
34.66% ( -0.34) | 25.55% ( 0.04) | 39.78% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 55.57% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.63% ( -0.24) | 48.36% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.49% ( -0.22) | 70.5% ( 0.22) |
Debrecen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.14% ( -0.32) | 26.86% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.83% ( -0.42) | 62.17% ( 0.41) |
MTK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.98% ( 0.04) | 24.02% ( -0.04) |