

Arsenal5 - 3Barcelona
The Match
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, July 22 at 10pm in Club Friendlies 1
Wednesday, August 2 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Tuesday, June 6 at 11.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 29 at 10pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Arsenal 2-1 Barcelona
Barcelona will arguably enter Thursday's clash as slight underdogs considering that they could be under-strength against an almost fully-fit Arsenal side. The Gunners will be eager to return to winning ways in front of their American fanbase, and we can see Arteta's side taking advantage of Barca's expected lack of sharpness to claim a narrow win in California. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.8%) and 2-0 (5.07%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result | ||
Arsenal | Draw | Barcelona |
40.61% (![]() | 22.59% (![]() | 36.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.15% (![]() | 33.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.3% (![]() | 55.69% (![]() |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.61% (![]() | 17.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.19% (![]() | 47.8% (![]() |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.93% (![]() | 19.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.33% (![]() | 50.66% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arsenal | Draw | Barcelona |
2-1 @ 8.41% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.96% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3.21% Total : 40.61% | 1-1 @ 9.61% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.97% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.24% ( ![]() Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 7.96% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.79% |
How you voted: Arsenal vs Barcelona

