MX23RW : Wednesday, February 5 17:46:58| >> :120:8239:8239:
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 4
Harborough Town

Shields (90+5')
Adigun (27'), Fielding (44'), Vincent (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Malone (41'), Stephens (60', 72'), Forbes (87')
Kennedy (3'), Austin (4'), Starkie (30'), Cooper (77'), Forbes (88'), Forbes (88')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Tonbridge Angels and Harborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Harborough Town 1-0 Bury
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Harborough Town had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Harborough Town win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHarborough Town
42.82% (5.01 5.01) 24.09% (-0.973 -0.97) 33.09% (-4.038 -4.04)
Both teams to score 60.26% (2.725 2.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.91% (3.865 3.87)42.08% (-3.866 -3.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.51% (3.77 3.77)64.48% (-3.771 -3.77)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (4.101 4.1)19.86% (-4.101 -4.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (6.231 6.23)51.97% (-6.233 -6.23)
Harborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.19% (-0.473 -0.47)24.8% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.62% (-0.66 -0.66)59.38% (0.66 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 42.82%
    Harborough Town 33.09%
    Draw 24.09%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawHarborough Town
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.562 0.56)
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.485 0.48)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.829 0.83)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.634 0.63)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.54 0.54)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.523 0.52)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.389 0.39)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.351 0.35)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 42.82%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.67 -0.67)
2-2 @ 6.26% (0.312 0.31)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.904 -0.9)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.232 0.23)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.582 -0.58)
0-1 @ 6.87% (-1.373 -1.37)
0-2 @ 4.79% (-1.036 -1.04)
1-3 @ 3.6% (-0.323 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.107 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.519 -0.52)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.09%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


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